From within the dark confines of the skull, the brain builds its own version of reality. By weaving together expectations and information gleaned from the senses, the brain creates a story about the ...

Once you understand what is, you'll spot Bayesian reasoning in science, medicine - and many aspects of daily life. Written and narrated by Sir David Spiegelhalter, Emeritus Professor of Statistics at ...

SCIENCE, being a human activity, is not immune to fashion. For example, one of the first mathematicians to study the subject of probability theory was an English clergyman called Thomas Bayes, who was ...

Having a strong opinion about an issue can make it hard to take in new information about it, or to consider other options when they’re presented. Thankfully, there’s an old rule that can help us avoid ...

2pm Introduction: Professor Norman Fenton and Amber Marks: technical and legal issues surrounding the use of Bayes. 2.15pm Keynote speech: Andrew Rennison, Forensic Science Regulator: ‘The role of the ...